WORKABLE
Your Max Offer to Seller (MAO)
$139,000
This is the maximum you can pay the seller and still leave room for the end-buyer's target margin plus your spread. Offering more = losing the buyer side. Offering less = better margin, but less competitive vs other wholesalers.
Wholesale exit
$20,000
Spread on contract assignment
Same offer to seller (MAO). You contract at MAO, assign to a cash buyer at MAO + your spread. The end-buyer takes the renovation risk and captures the renovator's margin.
Flip exit (same offer)
$65,000
Net profit if you keep the deal
Same offer to seller (MAO). You buy at MAO and keep it. By not assigning, you capture the renovator's margin AND what would have been your wholesale spread. Higher per-deal profit, but 4–6 months of capital and renovation risk are now yours.
Recommendation
Flip — higher margin, manageable hold
On this deal, flipping nets you 2.25× the wholesale spread. If you have capital and renovation capacity, this is worth keeping. If capital is tight or pipeline is full, wholesale at $20K spread is still solid money for 14–21 days of work.
The math, traced
End-buyer's deal economics
Sale price (ARV)$300,000
− Resale costs (10% ARV)($30,000)
− Holding/finance during hold($9,000)
− Target profit (15% ARV)($45,000)
End-buyer's max all-in budget$216,000
− Repair budget($54,000)
End-buyer's max acquisition cost$162,000
Your wholesale math
End-buyer's ceiling$162,000
− UNLOKR spread($20,000)
YOUR MAX OFFER TO SELLER$142,000
Flip exit math — same MAO offer, you keep the deal
This scenario assumes you offer the seller the same MAO from the wholesale math, then choose to keep the property instead of assigning it. Because you don't pay yourself a wholesale spread, you capture both the renovator's margin AND the spread as profit. If you'd offer a different (higher) price knowing you'll flip, profit drops accordingly — but you'd be more competitive against other buyers.
Your offer to seller (= MAO from wholesale path)$142,000
+ Repair budget$54,000
+ Holding / financing / carrying$9,000
+ Resale costs$30,000
Your total project cost$235,000
Sale at ARV$300,000
YOUR NET PROFIT (FLIP)$65,000
Profit % of ARV21.7%